With less than two weeks until Americans go to the polls the midterms, the polls are forecasting a blue wave.
On November 3, Americans will vote in some of the most significant midterm elections in recent memory.
At the moment, the Republicans have a Congress sweep under Donald Trump, controlling the House of Representatives and the Senate.
This means Trump can pass the tax and spending bills he wants and make judicial appointments he wants, shaping American law for decades.
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Next month though, the Democrats have the chance to put the brakes on Trump’s MAGA 2.0.
At the start of the year, the blue end of US politics would have been happy to just win one of the Congress bodies, which would have most likely been the House of Representatives.
But now, things are very different. After months of economic and political chaos, caused in large part by Trump’s decision to go to war with Iran alongside Israel, the political picture has changed.
Not only are the Democrats now heavy favourites to regain control of the House, but they could also now be looking at a blue wave in November.
As Trump’s approval rating falls to a record low of just 31%, the Democrats are now leading in several crucial Senate races.
This includes in states such as Alaska, which hasn’t voted in a Democratic senator since 1974, and Texas, which hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988.
If the polls come to fruition though, the Democrats will gain six seats in the Senate and the Republicans will lose six, giving the Democrats a 54-46 majority.
If the Democrats control the Senate and the House of Representatives, Trump’s presidency almost dies in the water.
It would be a massive setback for him. By controlling the House, Democrats would be able to block Republican legislation, refuse to pass Trump’s proposals, reject new tax and spending packages and initiate impeachment proceedings against the president.
With control of the Senate, Democrats could crucially block Trump’s nominees for federal judgeships, cabinet positions and other senior posts.
The beauty of this is that this potentially catastrophic outcome for the Republicans is almost entirely of Trump’s own doing.
His war in Iran has triggered a surge in energy prices and borrowing costs. During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump vowed to push gasoline below $2 (£1.50) a gallon – but at the time of writing the national average is $4.29 (£3.22).
He pledged to deliver 2% mortgage rates, but the average 30-year fixed-rate currently stands at 7.4%.
Trump has cosied up to Vladimir Putin and launched verbal attacks on Ukraine and Volodymyr Zelensky, a move that is unlikely to do much for his popularity in the US.
And instead of trying to address his nation’s problems, he seems more preoccupied about changing the state of New Mexico to ‘New America.’
Voters feel that Trump is actively making things worse in America, and at the same time not trying to address any of the issues.
If the polls are anything to go by, Americans are going to send a very clear message to Trump and the Republicans next month.