Reform UK continue to be in polling free fall after the party dropped to third.
YouGov’s latest polling recorded a three-point jump in support for the Conservatives in the wake of their party conference. Combined with a one-point drop for Reform, this means the Tories have overtaken Nigel Farage’s party into second place.
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Labour remain top but only by one point ahead of the Conservatives after a one-point drop in support.
Sky News’s deputy political editor Sam Coates shared a note from YouGov about the latest polling, highlighting how the changes are within the three-point margin of error.
However, they pointed to a ‘conference bounce’ and increased coverage of the Tories over the last week as likely being a key factor in their jump in support.
They also said this was the first time YouGov have had Reform in third place since 2024.
The importance of a ‘conference bounce’ was also noted by More in Common’s Luke Tryl, who said the polling should be “a further warning of risks of a snap election.”
According to polling aggregator PollCheck, If YouGov’s data was replicated in an election it would see Labour win 244 seats, 62 short of a majority.
The Conservatives would be the second biggest party on 167 seats, whilst Reform would be in third with 85 seats.